{"id":35646,"date":"2018-02-20T23:50:30","date_gmt":"2018-02-20T23:50:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/writemyessayfree.com\/probability-for-engineering"},"modified":"2017-08-16T06:34:10","modified_gmt":"2017-08-16T06:34:10","slug":"probability-for-engineering","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/probability-for-engineering\/","title":{"rendered":"Probability for engineering"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"the_content_wrapper\">\n<p>Probability for engineering<\/p>\n<p>IEE 2621 \u2013 Probability for Engineers Spring 2017<br \/> SEMESTER PROJECT \u2013 Teams of 3-4 DUE DATE 04\/18\/17<br \/> Project Description:<br \/> Suppose that you\u2019re a team of young adventurers who enjoy making bold moves in life. You also<br \/> enjoy the concept of chance and decide that your summer trip around the country will obey the<br \/> laws of uniform discrete random variables!! For your summer trip you decided to rent a car to<br \/> travel around Ameri`ca\u2019s 48 contiguous states. At the beginning of each day of your trip you will<br \/> roll an 8-sided die to determine which state to go to next through the use of the attached US<br \/> map. To illustrate how to use this map, consider the following two tables, which show the results<br \/> of rolling a die if you are currently in Oklahoma (OK) or currently in North Dakota (ND).<br \/> Table 1: Result of Rolling 8-Sided Die when Currently in Oklahoma<br \/> Die Roll 1<br \/> * 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br \/> \u2020<br \/> Destination OK TX NM CO KS MO AR OK<br \/> Table 2: Result of Rolling 8-Sided Die when Currently in North Dakota<br \/> Die Roll 1<br \/> * 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br \/> Destination ND SD MT MN CANADA<br \/> Project Part I \u2013 Two Week Trip Instructions:<br \/> Choose any state (besides Michigan) to begin your two week trip. It is recommended to read<br \/> Project Part II before deciding upon your initial state. Starting on Day 0, roll an 8-sided die to<br \/> determine your movement. Repeat this process until 14 days (movements) have been<br \/> completed. For this two week trip, you are not allowed to leave the US (i.e., any roll that would<br \/> results in crossing into Canada or Mexico should be considered as a roll of 1). Repeat this<br \/> experiment 100 times (recording your results), where each time you start at the same state.<br \/> Below is an example of two experiments.<br \/> Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14<br \/> Dice Roll N\/A 7 8 2 8 6 1 3 5 8 8 2 8 8 4<br \/> Location AR MS MS LA LA LA LA AR MO KY VA NC NC NC TN<br \/> Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14<br \/> Dice Roll N\/A 7 2 4 8 7 8 6 1 7 8 6 7 6 4<br \/> Location AR MS LA MS MS MS MS MS MS MS MS MS MS MS TN<\/p>\n<p>* A roll of 1 will always result in staying in your current state, except for Tennessee (TN) and Missouri (MO). You<br \/> will never stay two days in a row in TN or MO.<br \/> \u2020 Any roll that is not labelled on the map results in staying in your current state.<br \/> Discuss the results of these 100 experiments. Things that should be discussed would<br \/> include, but<br \/> are not limited to:<br \/> 1) Did you return to your original state; and if so how often did you return?<br \/> a. Within each experiment.<br \/> b. Among all 100 experiments.<br \/> 2) Did you return to your original state; and if so how quickly did you return?<br \/> 3) How often did you end up at the same state at the end of two weeks?<br \/> 4) What state was visited most often?<br \/> 5) What state was visited least often?<br \/> 6) Did you ever pass through Michigan; and if so how often?<br \/> Project Part II \u2013 The Return Home Instructions:<br \/> Use the same initial state that you chose for Part I. Starting on Day 0, roll an 8-sided die to<br \/> determine your movement. Repeat this process until you either 1) Arrive in Michigan or 2) Leave<br \/> the US. Repeat this experiment 50 times (recording your results), where each time you start at<br \/> the same state. Below is an example of one experiment.<br \/> Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14<br \/> Dice Roll N\/A 6 4 6 1 8 4 6 7 4 5 5 5 3 2<br \/> Location AR TN NC NC NC NC NC NC NC TN MO NE SD WY CO<br \/> Day 15 16 17<br \/> Dice Roll 4 2 7<br \/> Location UT AZ VIVA LA MEXICO!!<br \/> Discuss the results of these 50 experiments. Things that should be discussed would include, but<br \/> are not limited to:<br \/> 1) How many days did it take to either arrive to Michigan or leave the US?<br \/> 2) How often did you arrive to Michigan compared to how often you left the US?<br \/> 3) When you left the US, did you go to Canada more often than Mexico (or vice versa)?<br \/> 4) Were than any significant difference between these experiments and the previous<br \/> experiments (e.g. number of different states visited, number of times visiting a specific<br \/> state, etc.)?<br \/> Project Part III \u2013 Discrete Time Markov Chain Analysis:<br \/> Using a Discrete Time Markov Chain (DTMC) analyze the two systems from Project Part I and II.<br \/> Compare and contrast the theoretical DTMC results with those that were obtained through your<br \/> experiments. Submit Project Parts I-III as a single report.<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 5<br \/> 6<br \/> 7 2 3<br \/> 4 5 2 3 4<br \/> 2<br \/> 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4<br \/> 5<br \/> 6<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4<br \/> 5<br \/> 2<br \/> 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 5<br \/> 6 2 3<br \/> 4 5 6<br \/> 7<br \/> 2 3 4 5 6<br \/> 7<br \/> 2 3 4 5<br \/> 2 3 4<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 4 5 6<br \/> 7<br \/> 2 3 4 5 6<br \/> 7<br \/> 2 3 4 5<br \/> 2 3 4 5 6<br \/> 2 3 4<br \/> 5<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 4 5 6 3 2<br \/> 4<br \/> 5 6 7<br \/> 1<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 4 5 6<br \/> 7<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 4 5<br \/> 3 2 4 5<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 5<br \/> 6 2 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 2<br \/> 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 5 2 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 5 6<br \/> 2 3 2<br \/> 3 4<br \/> 5 2 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 5 2<br \/> 3<br \/> 4 5 6 2<br \/> 3 1 2 4 3<br \/> 5 6 7 2 3<br \/> 4 2 3<br \/> 4 5 2 3<br \/> 4 5 6 7<br \/> 8<br \/> 8<br \/> 2 3 5<br \/> 2 3 4 5<br \/> 2 3 4<br \/> 5 6 7<br \/> 2<br \/> 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 2<br \/> 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 6<br \/> 4 3 2 5 6<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4 2<br \/> 2 3 4<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 2 3<br \/> 4 5<br \/> WA<br \/> OR<br \/> CA<br \/> TX<br \/> NV<br \/> AZ NM<br \/> UT<br \/> MT ID WY<br \/> CO<br \/> ND<br \/> SD<br \/> OK<br \/> NE<br \/> MN WI<br \/> IL IA<br \/> MO<br \/> LA FL<br \/> AL GA MS SC<br \/> NC<br \/> MI<br \/> IN OH<br \/> WV VA KY<br \/> TN<br \/> MD PA<br \/> NY<br \/> DE<br \/> NJ<br \/> ME<br \/> RI<br \/> MA CT<br \/> NH<br \/> VT<br \/> KS<br \/> AR<br \/> 4-8 8 6-8 5-8 6-8<br \/> 5-8<br \/> 7-8 5-8 5-8<br \/> 3-8<br \/> 5-8 6-8 6-8 6-8<br \/> 8<br \/> 5<br \/> 5 7<br \/> 6 6<br \/> 7<br \/> 2 3 5<br \/> 2 3 4 5<br \/> 2 3 4<br \/> 5 6 7<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4<br \/> 2<br \/> 3<br \/> 4<br \/> 6<br \/> 4 3 2 5 6<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4<br \/> 2<br \/> 3 4 2<br \/> 2 3 4 2<br \/> 3<br \/> OH<br \/> WV VA<br \/> MD PA<br \/> NY<br \/> DE<br \/> NJ<br \/> ME<br \/> RI<br \/> MA<br \/> CT<br \/> VT NH 7-8 5-8 5-8<br \/> 3-8<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Probability for engineering IEE 2621 \u2013 Probability for Engineers Spring 2017 SEMESTER PROJECT \u2013 Teams of 3-4 DUE DATE 04\/18\/17 Project Description: Suppose that you\u2019re a team of young adventurers who enjoy making bold moves in life. You also enjoy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/probability-for-engineering\/\" class=\"read-more\">Read More &#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35646","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35646","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35646"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35646\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35646"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35646"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.benedictsol.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35646"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}